SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 67.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
67.27% ( 0.57) | 19.07% ( -0.32) | 13.65% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 51.05% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.25% ( 0.88) | 41.75% ( -0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.85% ( 0.88) | 64.15% ( -0.89) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.53% ( 0.41) | 11.46% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.7% ( 0.88) | 36.29% ( -0.88) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.66% ( 0.19) | 42.33% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.27% ( 0.16) | 78.72% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 2-0 @ 11.38% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.24)2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.76% Total : 67.27% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.98% Total : 19.07% | 0-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.49% Total : 13.65% |
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