SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 74.68%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 10.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 3-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.93%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-2 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
74.68% ( 1.03) | 15.12% ( -0.5) | 10.2% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 54.29% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.05% ( 0.91) | 31.95% ( -0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.5% ( 1.05) | 53.5% ( -1.05) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.77% ( 0.42) | 7.22% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.79% ( 1.08) | 26.21% ( -1.08) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.51% ( -0.31) | 41.48% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.01% ( -0.28) | 77.99% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 2-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0)5-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.18)5-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.05)6-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.11)5-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.05)6-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.64% Total : 74.67% | 1-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.12% | 1-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.18% Total : 10.2% |
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