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OU
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
CP

Oxford Utd
0 - 2
Crystal Palace


McGinty (6'), Bate (51'), Johnson (55'), Long (69'), Brannagan (80'), Smyth (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Edouard (71'), Milivojevic (90' pen.)
Mateta (26'), Milivojevic (58')

We said: Oxford United 0-2 Crystal Palace

Oxford have proven they can hang around in these elimination games, but the Eagles have a few attackers of the highest quality, who Viera can bring on if need be to make the difference in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Crystal Palace in this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
38.64% (-0.564 -0.56) 24.57% (0.14 0.14) 36.79% (0.427 0.43)
Both teams to score 59.3% (-0.471 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.34% (-0.628 -0.63)43.66% (0.628 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.95% (-0.616 -0.62)66.05% (0.61799999999999 0.62)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (-0.557 -0.56)22.51% (0.559 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (-0.839 -0.84)56.08% (0.841 0.84)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)23.47% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.51% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)57.49% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 38.64%
    Crystal Palace 36.79%
    Draw 24.56%
Oxford UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.88% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.87% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.64%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.17% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.28% (0.144 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.56%
1-2 @ 8.28% (0.061 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.66% (0.196 0.2)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.132 0.13)
1-3 @ 4% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.68% (0.06 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 36.79%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Morecambe
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Lincoln
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, August 13 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-2 Swansea (5-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crystal Palace 3-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Crystal Palace
Monday, August 15 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-2 Arsenal
Friday, August 5 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 4-2 Montpellier
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: QPR 0-3 Crystal Palace
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-1 Leeds
Friday, July 22 at 11.05am in Club Friendlies 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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