Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Shrewsbury Town | 5 | -3 | 5 |
19 | Oxford United | 5 | -2 | 4 |
20 | Forest Green Rovers | 4 | -3 | 4 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Brentford | 3 | 3 | 4 |
9 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Nottingham Forest | 3 | -1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Crystal Palace in this match.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Crystal Palace |
38.64% ( -0.56) | 24.57% ( 0.14) | 36.79% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 59.3% ( -0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.34% ( -0.63) | 43.66% ( 0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.95% ( -0.62) | 66.05% ( 0.62) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% ( -0.56) | 22.51% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.92% ( -0.84) | 56.08% ( 0.84) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.53% ( -0.05) | 23.47% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.51% ( -0.09) | 57.49% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Crystal Palace |
2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.64% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.14% Total : 36.79% |
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