Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Stoke City |
33.28% (![]() | 24.91% (![]() | 41.81% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.41% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.17% (![]() | 45.83% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.85% (![]() | 68.15% (![]() |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.52% (![]() | 26.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.33% (![]() | 61.67% (![]() |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.09% (![]() | 21.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.83% (![]() | 55.17% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Stoke City |
2-1 @ 7.78% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.71% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.12% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 3.2% Total : 33.28% | 1-1 @ 11.7% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.9% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.91% | 1-2 @ 8.89% 0-1 @ 8.81% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.69% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.38% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 2.43% Total : 41.81% |
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