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SL
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
DR

Stoke
2 - 0
Doncaster

Ince (38'), Surridge (48')
Batth (8'), Surridge (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Williams (25')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawDoncaster Rovers
53.13%25.62%21.25%
Both teams to score 45.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.56%56.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.55%77.45%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7%21.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76%54.24%
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.26%41.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.79%78.21%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 53.12%
    Doncaster Rovers 21.25%
    Draw 25.62%
Stoke CityDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 13.74%
2-0 @ 10.63%
2-1 @ 9.29%
3-0 @ 5.48%
3-1 @ 4.79%
4-0 @ 2.12%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 1.85%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 53.12%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 8.89%
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 7.77%
1-2 @ 5.25%
0-2 @ 3.39%
1-3 @ 1.53%
2-3 @ 1.18%
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 21.25%

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