Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.