Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.44%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.
