Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.44%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Nottingham Forest
41.44%	29.41%	29.14%

Both teams to score 42.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.83%

64.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.69%

83.3%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.44%

30.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.21%

66.78%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.08%

38.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.36%

75.64%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 41.44%

Nottingham Forest 29.14%

Draw 29.4%

Stoke City	Draw	Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 14.09% 2-0 @ 8.36% 2-1 @ 7.89% 3-0 @ 3.3% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 0.98% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.31% Total : 41.44%	1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 11.88% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.4%	0-1 @ 11.22% 1-2 @ 6.28% 0-2 @ 5.3% 1-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.53% Total : 29.14%