Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.14%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
-0.06) 
0.08) 
