SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 17.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Gillingham |
59.17% ( 0.43) | 23.57% ( -0.02) | 17.26% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 45.38% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.26% ( -0.5) | 53.75% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.78% ( -0.42) | 75.23% ( 0.43) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.1% ( -0.02) | 17.9% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.3% ( -0.05) | 48.7% ( 0.06) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.27% ( -0.8) | 44.73% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.29% ( -0.65) | 80.71% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 13.77% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.21)2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.34% Total : 59.16% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.64% Total : 23.57% | 0-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.54% Total : 17.26% |
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