SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 62.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 18.24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 1-0 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
62.31% ( 0.06) | 19.45% ( -0.02) | 18.24% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.88% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.82% ( 0.04) | 34.18% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.94% ( 0.04) | 56.06% ( -0.04) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.43% ( 0.03) | 10.56% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.69% ( 0.06) | 34.31% ( -0.05) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.08% ( -0.01) | 31.92% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.63% ( -0.01) | 68.37% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.52% ( 0)1-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.16% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.34% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.84% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 4.13% Total : 62.31% | 1-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.28% Total : 19.45% | 1-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 18.24% |
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