Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 55.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 20.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
-1.97) 
1.09) 
