Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 68.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 12.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Barnsley in this match.
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