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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2022 at 7pm UK
Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley
2 - 0
Newcastle U21s

Butterfill (79'), Larkeche (85')
McCarthy (63'), Hondermarck (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Barnsley and Newcastle United Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 68.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 12.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Barnsley in this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
68.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 18.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 12.89% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.25% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)39.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.9% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)62.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.51%10.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.86% (0.0010000000000048 0)34.14% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.79% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)42.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.38% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)78.62% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 68.85%
    Newcastle United Under-21s 12.89%
    Draw 18.25%
BarnsleyDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
2-0 @ 11.25%
1-0 @ 9.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.71%
3-0 @ 8.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.3%
4-0 @ 4.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.15%
5-1 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 68.85%
1-1 @ 8.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.43% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.25%
0-1 @ 3.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 3.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 12.89%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cambridge 0-3 Barnsley
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 1-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-2 Barnsley
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-3 Lincoln
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 Barnsley
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Barnsley
Wednesday, August 24 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Newcastle U21s 2-1 Forest U21s
Friday, September 16 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last Game: Doncaster 0-0 Newcastle U21s (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Newcastle U21s 4-0 Derby U21s
Friday, August 26 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last Game: Norwich U21s 4-2 Newcastle U21s
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last Game: Newcastle U21s 0-1 Stoke U21s
Monday, August 15 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last Game: WBA U21s 2-1 Newcastle U21s
Monday, August 8 at 5pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2


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