Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
0.41) 
-0.15) 
