Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Barrow
30.06% ( -1.15)	26.21% ( -0.2)	43.72% ( 1.35)

Both teams to score 51.8% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.48% (

0.37)

52.52% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.81% (

0.31)

74.18% (

-0.32)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.04% (

-0.63)

31.95% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.59% (

-0.72)

68.41% (

0.72)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.12% (

0.83)

23.88% (

-0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.92% (

1.18)

58.07% (

-1.18)

Score Analysis

Morecambe 30.06%

Barrow 43.72%

Draw 26.21%

Morecambe	Draw	Barrow
1-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.06%	1-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.21%	0-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.75% Total : 43.72%