While much could depend on the strength of the two starting lineups, it may only act as a way of closing up the scoreline. We are backing Stoke to come through this contest in convincing style, taking an early lead and easing to a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 62.41%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 16.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.86%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Stoke City
16.56% ( -0)	21.03% ( -0)	62.41% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.66% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.41% (

-0)

44.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.04% (

-0)

66.95%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.86% (

-0.01)

40.14% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.22% (

-0)

76.78% (

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.29% (

13.7% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.06% (

40.94% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 16.56%

Stoke City 62.4%

Draw 21.03%

Carlisle United	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 5.02% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.55% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.29% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.39% 3-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.93% Total : 16.56%	1-1 @ 9.98% 0-0 @ 5.5% 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.03%	0-1 @ 10.93% 0-2 @ 10.86% 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-3 @ 7.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.57% 0-4 @ 3.58% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 3% 2-4 @ 1.49% 0-5 @ 1.42% 1-5 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.88% Total : 62.4%