SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 41%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
32.67% ( -0.48) | 26.33% ( -0.15) | 41% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 52.49% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.88% ( 0.52) | 52.11% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.16% ( 0.45) | 73.83% ( -0.45) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.05% ( -0.06) | 29.95% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.94% ( -0.07) | 66.05% ( 0.07) |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.93% ( 0.58) | 25.07% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.24% ( 0.79) | 59.76% ( -0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 32.67% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.52% Total : 40.99% |
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