Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
0.35) 
-0.31) 
