Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.06) 
