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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
BA
Port Vale
0 - 0
Burton Albion

Smith (18')
FT

Sweeney (2'), Oshilaja (43'), Powell (45'), Walker (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 0-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Burton Albion

Port Vale will be in high spirits after booking their place in the EFL Cup quarter-finals, but we think that they may struggle to claim another cup win at the weekend. Burton have had a week to prepare for Saturday's contest, and their fresh legs could help them claim a fourth straight victory in away meetings with Port Vale. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 51.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 23.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawBurton Albion
51.54%25.14%23.32%
Both teams to score 49.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.31%52.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67%74.33%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55%20.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1%52.9%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.43%37.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.65%74.35%
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 51.54%
    Burton Albion 23.32%
    Draw 25.13%
Port ValeDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 12.19%
2-0 @ 9.68%
2-1 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 5.12%
3-1 @ 5.01%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-0 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.99%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 51.54%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 7.68%
2-2 @ 4.64%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.52%
1-2 @ 5.84%
0-2 @ 3.68%
1-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.51%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 23.32%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mansfield 0-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Port Vale 1-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Peterborough
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Port Vale
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-1 Newcastle U21s (3-2 pen.)
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-0 Port Vale
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 4-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Cambridge
Monday, October 9 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Wigan
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One

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