Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 21.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
56.68% ( 1.1) | 22.08% ( -0.03) | 21.24% ( -1.08) |
Both teams to score 56.66% ( -1.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.91% ( -1.24) | 42.09% ( 1.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.51% ( -1.25) | 64.49% ( 1.25) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.33% ( -0.07) | 14.67% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.18% ( -0.13) | 42.82% ( 0.13) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.4% ( -1.68) | 33.6% ( 1.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.75% ( -1.88) | 70.24% ( 1.88) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.49) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.92% Total : 56.68% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.07% | 1-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.23% Total : 21.24% |
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