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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2023 at 7pm UK
One Call Stadium
DR

Mansfield
3 - 2
Doncaster

Gale (11' pen., 13'), Johnson (88')
MacDonald (19'), Brunt (45+8'), Cargill (49')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Close (38'), Ironside (64')
Sotona (26'), Flint (52'), Westbrooke (66'), Molyneux (71')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Mansfield Town and Doncaster Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 21.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
56.68% (1.102 1.1) 22.08% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 21.24% (-1.075 -1.08)
Both teams to score 56.66% (-1.484 -1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.91% (-1.236 -1.24)42.09% (1.236 1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.51% (-1.251 -1.25)64.49% (1.25 1.25)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.33% (-0.068000000000012 -0.07)14.67% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.18% (-0.127 -0.13)42.82% (0.126 0.13)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.4% (-1.684 -1.68)33.6% (1.683 1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.75% (-1.881 -1.88)70.24% (1.878 1.88)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 56.68%
    Doncaster Rovers 21.24%
    Draw 22.07%
Mansfield TownDrawDoncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
1-0 @ 9.46% (0.493 0.49)
2-0 @ 9.08% (0.453 0.45)
3-1 @ 6.34% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.81% (0.277 0.28)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.152 -0.15)
4-1 @ 3.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.79% (0.127 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.077 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 56.68%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.226 -0.23)
0-0 @ 4.93% (0.268 0.27)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.07%
1-2 @ 5.63% (-0.222 -0.22)
0-1 @ 5.37% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.05% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 21.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Mansfield
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-2 Peterborough (3-1 pen.)
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Mansfield
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Doncaster
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 2-0 Crawley
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 3-2 Doncaster
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 Gillingham
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 2-0 Everton U21s
Tuesday, September 19 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Doncaster
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League Two


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