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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 30, 2022 at 7pm UK
The New Lawn

Forest Green
3 - 1
Saints U21s

Cargill (37'), Bernard (45+3'), Casey (59')
Davis (19'), Cargill (31'), Stevenson (53'), March (75')
Little (72')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lancashire (32')
Carson (33'), Bellis (45+1'), Payne (90+2')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Forest Green Rovers and Southampton Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 14.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Southampton Under-21s win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawSouthampton Under-21s
65.29% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02) 20.21% (0.023 0.02) 14.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Both teams to score 49.51% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.03% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)44.97% (0.1 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.68% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)67.32% (0.095999999999989 0.1)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.03% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)12.97% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.54% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)39.46% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Southampton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.89% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)43.11% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.61% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)79.39% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 65.28%
    Southampton Under-21s 14.51%
    Draw 20.21%
Forest Green RoversDrawSouthampton Under-21s
2-0 @ 11.66% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.42% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 7.94% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.41% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.66% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 65.28%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 20.21%
0-1 @ 4.71% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 14.51%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sheff Weds 5-0 Forest Green
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 0-3 Brighton
Wednesday, August 24 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Forest Green 0-3 Plymouth
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 2-0 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Ipswich
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Saints U21s 1-1 Norwich U21s
Friday, August 26 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last Game: Stoke U21s 0-3 Saints U21s
Friday, August 19 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last Game: Saints U21s 4-1 WBA U21s
Friday, August 12 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last Game: Forest U21s 1-3 Saints U21s
Monday, August 8 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last Game: Crawley 0-4 Saints U21s
Tuesday, November 9 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Charlton 4-1 Saints U21s
Tuesday, October 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy


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