Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
21 | Cheltenham Town | 6 | -4 | 4 |
22 | Forest Green Rovers | 5 | -8 | 4 |
23 | Morecambe | 6 | -8 | 3 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Middlesbrough Under-21s | 4 | 8 | 10 |
3 | Southampton Under-21s | 4 | 8 | 10 |
4 | Norwich City Under-21s | 4 | 3 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 14.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Southampton Under-21s win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
65.29% ( -0.02) | 20.21% ( 0.02) | 14.5% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 49.51% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.03% ( -0.09) | 44.97% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.68% ( -0.09) | 67.32% ( 0.1) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.03% ( -0.03) | 12.97% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.54% ( -0.07) | 39.46% ( 0.07) |
Southampton Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.89% ( -0.06) | 43.11% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.61% ( -0.05) | 79.39% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
2-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.94% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.06% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.66% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 65.28% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 20.21% | 0-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.04% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 1.49% Total : 14.51% |
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