Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
-0.17) 
0.01) 
