Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0) 
