Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%).