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League Two | Gameweek 8
Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Banks's Stadium
NT

Walsall
1 - 0
Northampton

Johnson (37')
Hutchinson (44'), White (63'), James-Taylor (65'), Evans (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hylton (21'), Guthrie (45')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Walsall
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Walsall 0-3 Northampton Town

With two teams on the opposite end of the form table facing off, it only makes sense to back a Northampton victory in this one. Not only should they be good enough to secure the three points, we think they will have enough about them to win by a comfortable margin, making it six league wins on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
WalsallDrawNorthampton Town
33.34% (1.789 1.79) 28.64% (-0.527 -0.53) 38.01% (-1.264 -1.26)
Both teams to score 45.72% (1.822 1.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.29% (2.054 2.05)60.71% (-2.057 -2.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.22% (1.518 1.52)80.77% (-1.521 -1.52)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.12% (2.384 2.38)33.88% (-2.387 -2.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.45% (2.498 2.5)70.55% (-2.502 -2.5)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15% (0.27 0.27)30.85% (-0.272 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.87% (0.316 0.32)67.13% (-0.319 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Walsall 33.34%
    Northampton Town 38.01%
    Draw 28.63%
WalsallDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 11.31% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.2% (0.423 0.42)
2-0 @ 6.12% (0.316 0.32)
3-1 @ 2.6% (0.307 0.31)
3-0 @ 2.21% (0.246 0.25)
3-2 @ 1.53% (0.191 0.19)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 33.34%
1-1 @ 13.3% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 10.45% (-0.83 -0.83)
2-2 @ 4.23% (0.279 0.28)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.63%
0-1 @ 12.29% (-0.88 -0.88)
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.23% (-0.461 -0.46)
1-3 @ 3.07% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.83% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.121 0.12)
1-4 @ 0.9% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 38.01%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Walsall
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 0-1 Tranmere
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-1 Walsall
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Walsall
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Colchester
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-1 Walsall
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Northampton
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Stockport
Saturday, September 24 at 2pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 0-2 Cambridge
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Northampton 3-0 Rochdale
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Northampton
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 3-1 Barrow
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League Two


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