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League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 1pm UK
One Call Stadium
W

Mansfield
2 - 1
Walsall

Lapslie (15'), Swan (82')
Swan (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bennett (35')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Walsall

Mansfield are on a brilliant run of form and we expect them to continue that here with a narrow victory. Walsall have been impressive in recent matches, but they will struggle with the absence of Danny Johnson. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 14.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Walsall win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawWalsall
64.07% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05) 21.09% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 14.84% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.54% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.95% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)48.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)70.21% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.7% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)14.3% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.89% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)42.11% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.48% (0.039999999999999 0.04)44.52% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.45% (0.030999999999999 0.03)80.55% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 64.07%
    Walsall 14.84%
    Draw 21.08%
Mansfield TownDrawWalsall
1-0 @ 12.38%
2-0 @ 12.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 7.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24%
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 64.07%
1-1 @ 10.01%
0-0 @ 6.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 21.08%
0-1 @ 5.15% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.05% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.09% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 14.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Derby (6-5 pen.)
Tuesday, October 4 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Mansfield 2-2 Hartlepool
Friday, September 30 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-2 Mansfield
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Mansfield
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Mansfield
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 3-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-0 Northampton
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Walsall
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 0-1 Tranmere
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-1 Walsall
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Walsall
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two


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