Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 49.97%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.17%) and 2-0 (5.13%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Ajax |
49.97% (![]() | 20.53% (![]() | 29.49% (![]() |
Both teams to score 71.77% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.7% (![]() | 26.3% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.4% (![]() | 46.6% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.71% (![]() | 11.29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.08% (![]() | 35.92% (![]() |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.9% (![]() | 19.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.28% (![]() | 50.72% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 8.49% (![]() 3-1 @ 6.17% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.13% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 4.7% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.73% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.37% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 4.22% Total : 49.97% | 1-1 @ 7.79% (![]() 2-2 @ 7.03% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.16% ( ![]() Other @ 0.74% Total : 20.53% | 1-2 @ 6.45% (![]() 2-3 @ 3.88% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 3.57% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.56% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 3.21% Total : 29.49% |
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