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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 54.68%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 23.29% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | FC Utrecht |
54.68% ( 2.24) | 22.03% ( 0.13) | 23.29% ( -2.37) |
| Both teams to score 59.72% ( -3.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.63% ( -3.12) | 39.37% ( 3.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.3% ( -3.34) | 61.71% ( 3.34) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.62% ( -0.36) | 14.38% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.73% ( -0.7) | 42.28% ( 0.71) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.75% ( -3.55) | 30.25% ( 3.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.58% ( -4.46) | 66.42% ( 4.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 8.44% ( 1.08)2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.96)3-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.56)3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.35)4-1 @ 3.07% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.24)4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.19)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.25% Total : 54.68% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.45)0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.61)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.31)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.02% | 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.38) 0-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.42)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.44)0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.97% Total : 23.29% |
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