AZ
5 - 1
Utrecht

Pavlidis (6'), Karlsson (12'), de Wit (40', 56'), Gudmundsson (86' pen.)

FT(HT: 3-0)

Maduro (90')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Utrecht
48.15%	25.85%	26%

Both teams to score 50.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.68%

53.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.13%

74.87%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.84%

22.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.45%

55.55%

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.46%

35.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.69%

72.31%

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 48.14%

FC Utrecht 26%

Draw 25.84%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Utrecht
1-0 @ 11.86% 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 8.94% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-0 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.2% Total : 48.14%	1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 7.87% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.84%	0-1 @ 8.15% 1-2 @ 6.35% 0-2 @ 4.21% 1-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2% Total : 26%