SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 69.55%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 12.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
69.55% ( -0.06) | 18% ( 0.22) | 12.45% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 51.22% ( -1.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.29% ( -1.47) | 39.71% ( 1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.93% ( -1.55) | 62.07% ( 1.55) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.69% ( -0.41) | 10.31% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.27% ( -0.94) | 33.73% ( 0.94) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.1% ( -1.21) | 42.89% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.8% ( -1.04) | 79.2% ( 1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.38) 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.5)2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.12)Other @ 4.42% Total : 69.54% | 1-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.99% Total : 18% | 0-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.35% Total : 12.45% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
