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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 69.53%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 13.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.38%) and 1-3 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
13.46% ( 0.06) | 17.02% ( 0.2) | 69.53% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 58.26% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.77% ( -0.87) | 32.23% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.17% ( -1.02) | 53.83% ( 1.02) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.58% ( -0.5) | 36.42% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.79% ( -0.51) | 73.21% ( 0.52) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.64% ( -0.27) | 8.36% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.9% ( -0.69) | 29.1% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 13.46% | 1-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.23% Total : 17.02% | 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 7.84% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 7.76% ( 0.06)0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.25)1-4 @ 4.86% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 4.81% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.08)1-5 @ 2.41% ( -0.08)0-5 @ 2.39% ( -0.05)2-5 @ 1.22% ( -0.06)1-6 @ 1% ( -0.05)0-6 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.44% Total : 69.53% |
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