SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Heerenveen |
28.93% ( -0.44) | 24.81% ( 0.19) | 46.25% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 55.63% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.77% ( -1.1) | 47.22% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.54% ( -1.03) | 69.45% ( 1.03) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.95% ( -0.87) | 30.04% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.83% ( -1.06) | 66.17% ( 1.06) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.52% ( -0.35) | 20.48% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.05% ( -0.55) | 52.95% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 1-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.18% Total : 28.93% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.81% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.75% Total : 46.25% |
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