SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 57.42%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 21.9% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.75%) and 0-1 (7.31%). The likeliest Emmen win was 2-1 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
21.9% ( 0.77) | 20.68% ( 0.42) | 57.42% ( -1.19) |
| Both teams to score 62.72% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.41% ( -0.98) | 34.59% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.47% ( -1.11) | 56.53% ( 1.11) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% ( 0.1) | 28.74% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.42% ( 0.13) | 64.58% ( -0.13) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.01% ( -0.63) | 11.99% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.59% ( -1.36) | 37.41% ( 1.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.27% Total : 21.9% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.68% | 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( 0)0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 6.84% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 5.48% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 3.63% ( -0.18)0-4 @ 2.91% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.1)1-5 @ 1.54% ( -0.12)0-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.1)2-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.07)3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.65% Total : 57.42% |
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