SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.32%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.48%) and 3-1 (6.38%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | AC Milan |
52.32% ( 0.05) | 21.21% ( 0.05) | 26.46% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 66.43% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.85% ( -0.31) | 32.14% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.27% ( -0.36) | 53.73% ( 0.36) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.36% ( -0.09) | 12.64% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.21% ( -0.19) | 38.78% ( 0.19) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.04% ( -0.23) | 23.96% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.8% ( -0.32) | 58.19% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 52.32% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.21% | 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 26.46% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
