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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 56.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 2-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Twente |
21.52% ( 0.36) | 21.85% ( 0.14) | 56.64% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 57.89% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.34% ( -0.19) | 40.66% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.96% ( -0.2) | 63.04% ( 0.2) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.47% ( 0.22) | 32.53% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.94% ( 0.25) | 69.06% ( -0.24) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.8% ( -0.22) | 14.2% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.08% ( -0.43) | 41.92% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.43% Total : 21.52% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.84% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 6.43% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.14% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.16% Total : 56.64% |
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