SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | FC Twente |
35.98% ( 0.09) | 26.3% ( 0.1) | 37.72% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.5% ( -0.44) | 51.5% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.7% ( -0.39) | 73.3% ( 0.39) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% ( -0.16) | 27.57% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.91% ( -0.2) | 63.09% ( 0.2) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.43% ( -0.32) | 26.57% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.22% ( -0.42) | 61.78% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | FC Twente |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.98% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.72% |
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