SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 54.42%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.34%) and 1-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Vitesse |
54.42% ( 0.54) | 21.35% ( 0.07) | 24.22% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 63.4% ( -1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.95% ( -1) | 35.05% ( 0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.95% ( -1.12) | 57.04% ( 1.11) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.99% ( -0.18) | 13% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.47% ( -0.36) | 39.53% ( 0.35) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.87% ( -1) | 27.12% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.48% ( -1.33) | 62.51% ( 1.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.27)1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.2% Total : 54.42% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.35% | 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.81% Total : 24.22% |
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