SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 60.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 18.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
60.61% ( -1.94) | 20.55% ( 0.71) | 18.83% ( 1.21) |
| Both teams to score 57.94% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.48% ( -1.32) | 38.51% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.19% ( -1.41) | 60.8% ( 1.4) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.67% ( -0.93) | 12.32% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.87% ( -1.98) | 38.12% ( 1.98) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.08% ( 0.51) | 33.91% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.41% ( 0.55) | 70.58% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.1)1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.26)4-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.29)4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.17)5-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.91% Total : 60.61% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.26)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.55% | 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.34)0-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.98% Total : 18.83% |
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