SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 84.8%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 5.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 4-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.76%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
84.8% ( 0.05) | 10.18% ( -0.03) | 5.01% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.86% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.9% ( 0.08) | 27.1% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.38% ( 0.1) | 47.61% ( -0.11) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.55% ( 0.02) | 4.45% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.7% ( 0.07) | 18.29% ( -0.07) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.04% ( -0.01) | 50.95% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.69% ( -0) | 85.31% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 3-0 @ 11.39% 2-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.68% ( -0)2-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 4.28% Total : 84.79% | 1-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.5% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.66% Total : 10.18% | 1-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 5.01% |
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