SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
35.81% ( 0.15) | 25.68% ( -0.01) | 38.51% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 55.3% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.21% ( 0.07) | 48.78% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.11% ( 0.06) | 70.89% ( -0.07) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.61% ( 0.12) | 26.38% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.46% ( 0.16) | 61.54% ( -0.16) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.12% ( -0.04) | 24.88% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.51% ( -0.06) | 59.49% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.81% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.51% |
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