Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 50.64%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.85%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
NAC Breda | Draw | Ajax |
27.42% (![]() | 21.94% (![]() | 50.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.59% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.09% (![]() | 34.91% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.11% (![]() | 56.89% (![]() |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.23% (![]() | 24.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.66% (![]() | 59.34% (![]() |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.87% (![]() | 14.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.21% (![]() | 41.79% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
NAC Breda | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 6.67% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.89% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.59% Total : 27.42% | 1-1 @ 9.56% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.53% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 9.35% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.85% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.7% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.37% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.26% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 3.66% Total : 50.64% |
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