Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	FC Utrecht
44.22% ( -0.88)	24.4% ( 0.05)	31.38% ( 0.83)

Both teams to score 58.46% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.86% (

0.13)

44.14% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.48% (

0.13)

66.52% (

-0.12)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.9% (

-0.33)

20.1% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.66% (

-0.53)

52.34% (

0.53)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.16% (

0.6)

26.84% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.85% (

0.78)

62.14% (

-0.78)

Score Analysis

Vitesse 44.22%

FC Utrecht 31.38%

Draw 24.39%

Vitesse	Draw	FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.94% Total : 44.22%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.39%	1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.38%