Considering the form of both sides and the recent head-to-head meetings, Vitesse will be considered as favourites for Thursday's contest.
Utrecht are unbeaten in their last three home games, but we can see that run coming to an end, with the visitors taking a slender advantage into Sunday's second leg.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
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