Following a dismal start to the new campaign, the onus is majorly on Vitesse to come away with all three points in front of their fans this weekend. While we expect Heerenveen to put up a decent fight, we are tipping the hosts to claim a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 53.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 20.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	Heerenveen
53.32% ( 3.07)	25.8% ( 0.46)	20.87% ( -3.54)

Both teams to score 44.88% (

-5.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.54% (

-4.92)

57.46% (

4.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.74% (

-4.06)

78.26% (

4.06)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.37% (

-0.71)

21.63% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.25% (

-1.1)

54.75% (

1.09)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.27% (

-6.23)

42.73% (

6.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.94% (

-5.78)

79.06% (

5.77)

Score Analysis

Vitesse 53.32%

Heerenveen 20.87%

Draw 25.8%

Vitesse	Draw	Heerenveen
1-0 @ 14.15% ( 2.21) 2-0 @ 10.83% ( 1.49) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.66) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0.48) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.99% Total : 53.32%	1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.24% ( 1.61) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.83) Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.8%	0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.95) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.54) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.59) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.48) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.36) Other @ 1.04% Total : 20.87%