SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
36.53% ( 0.93) | 25.72% ( -0.28) | 37.74% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( 1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.06% ( 1.28) | 48.94% ( -1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.97% ( 1.15) | 71.02% ( -1.15) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.96% ( 1.14) | 26.04% ( -1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.92% ( 1.51) | 61.08% ( -1.51) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( 0.23) | 25.36% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.84% ( 0.32) | 60.16% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.53% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.35)2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.74% |
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