SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 14.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Feyenoord |
14.56% ( -0.29) | 18.56% ( 0.22) | 66.88% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.46% ( -1.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.78% ( -1.74) | 37.22% ( 1.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.57% ( -1.9) | 59.43% ( 1.91) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.82% ( -1.5) | 38.18% ( 1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.06% ( -1.47) | 74.94% ( 1.48) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.71% ( -0.46) | 10.29% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.31% ( -1.06) | 33.69% ( 1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.98% Total : 14.56% | 1-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.32)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.56% | 0-2 @ 10.15% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0.05)0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.57)0-3 @ 7.7% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 7.41% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 4.38% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 4.22% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.2)2-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.16)0-5 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.92% ( -0.11)2-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.88% Total : 66.88% |
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