SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 51.92%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
51.92% ( 2.55) | 23.51% ( -0.68) | 24.58% ( -1.87) |
| Both teams to score 56.19% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.26% ( 1.38) | 44.74% ( -1.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.9% ( 1.31) | 67.1% ( -1.31) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.76% ( 1.5) | 17.25% ( -1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.44% ( 2.57) | 47.56% ( -2.56) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.9% ( -0.77) | 32.1% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.42% ( -0.89) | 68.58% ( 0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.36)3-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.42)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.28)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.86% Total : 51.92% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.36) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.34)2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.52) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.38)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.61% Total : 24.58% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
