SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 57.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 21.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | NEC |
21.35% ( -0.03) | 21.61% ( 0.14) | 57.04% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 58.47% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.21% ( -0.7) | 39.79% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.86% ( -0.73) | 62.14% ( 0.73) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.81% ( -0.43) | 32.19% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.32% ( -0.49) | 68.68% ( 0.49) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.21% ( -0.27) | 13.78% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.9% ( -0.53) | 41.1% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | NEC |
| 2-1 @ 5.65% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 21.35% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.61% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 6.52% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 5.75% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 3.23% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.36% Total : 57.04% |
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