SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 52.95%. A win for NEC had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.52%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for NEC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | NEC |
52.95% ( 0.03) | 20.4% ( -0) | 26.65% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 69.79% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.11% ( -0.02) | 27.88% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.4% ( -0.03) | 48.6% ( 0.03) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.98% ( 0) | 11.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.67% | 35.33% ( 0) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.43% ( -0.03) | 21.56% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.35% ( -0.04) | 54.65% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | NEC |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 5% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.59% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.76% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.59% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 3.37% Total : 52.95% | 1-1 @ 8.04% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.56% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.38% ( 0)Other @ 0.62% Total : 20.4% | 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.65% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.8% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 26.65% |
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