SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Feyenoord in this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
47.14% ( -0.03) | 23.18% ( -0) | 29.68% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.79% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.66% ( 0.03) | 39.33% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.33% ( 0.03) | 61.67% ( -0.03) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83% ( 0) | 17% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.88% ( 0) | 47.12% ( -0) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.45% ( 0.03) | 25.55% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.58% ( 0.05) | 60.41% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 4.16% Total : 47.14% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.04% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 29.68% |
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