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Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
F

Shakhtar
1 - 1
Feyenoord

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Metalist Kharkiv 0-7 Shakhtar
Sunday, March 5 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League

We said: Shakhtar Donetsk 1-1 Feyenoord

Having suffered just three defeats all season, Feyenoord are favoured to advance to the quarter-finals, but Shakhtar Donetsk will not go down without a fight. Feyenoord may have to wait until the second leg at De Kuip to assert their dominance on the contest, as a resilient Shakhtar outfit are expected to frustrate Slot's men on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 19.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 0-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 2-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawFeyenoord
19.26% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 20.61% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 60.13% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 58.55% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.92% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)38.07% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.65% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)60.34% (0.073 0.07)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.78% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)33.21% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.17% (-0.023 -0.02)69.82% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.67% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)12.32% (0.036 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.87% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)38.12% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 19.26%
    Feyenoord 60.13%
    Draw 20.61%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawFeyenoord
2-1 @ 5.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 4.51% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 1.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 19.26%
1-1 @ 9.45% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.09% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.61%
1-2 @ 9.89% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 8.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.57% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.26% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.8% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.61% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.51% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 60.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Metalist Kharkiv 0-7 Shakhtar
Sunday, March 5 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Minai 1-4 Shakhtar
Tuesday, February 28 at 1pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Shakhtar (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Shakhtar 2-1 Rennes
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Shakhtar 3-2 Vorskla
Wednesday, November 23 at 2pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 2-1 Shakhtar
Saturday, November 19 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 Groningen
Saturday, March 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 0-1 Feyenoord
Wednesday, March 1 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Sittard 2-4 Feyenoord
Sunday, February 26 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 2-1 AZ
Saturday, February 18 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 1-2 Feyenoord
Sunday, February 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 4-4 Nijmegen (5-3 pen.)
Wednesday, February 8 at 8pm in KNVB Beker


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