Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 0-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 2-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Feyenoord |
19.26% ( 0.02) | 20.61% ( 0.02) | 60.13% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 58.55% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.92% ( -0.07) | 38.07% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.65% ( -0.08) | 60.34% ( 0.07) |
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.78% ( -0.02) | 33.21% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.17% ( -0.02) | 69.82% ( 0.02) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.67% ( -0.04) | 12.32% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.87% ( -0.07) | 38.12% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 5.21% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 19.26% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.61% | 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.26% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 3.97% Total : 60.13% |
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